MATH 201

ELEMENTS of STATISTICS and PROBABILITY

 Monday, Wednesday, Friday 11:00 to 12:40 PM in E106    5 UNITS

Instructor Larry Green

Internet

 

Textbook: Instead of a traditional textbook, this class will use an open textbook that can be found at:  http://cnx.org/content/col11562/latest/.   Printed versions are for sale in the college bookstore.

Course Description This course will cover data analysis including probability, distributions, sampling, hypothesis testing, confidence intervals, regression analysis, and nonparametric analysis.

Student Learning Outcomes

  1. Design and implement an unbiased study that will produce sound statistical results.
  2. Generate and interpret statistics graphs from data that arise from surveys and experiments.
  3. Implement the rules of probability.
  4. Apply confidence intervals and test hypotheses to make conclusions about data that come from practical applications.
  5. Perform regression analysis to make informed predictions about relationships between quantitative variables.
     

Prerequisite A grade of C or better in Math 154A or an equivalent class or a satisfactory score on the assessment test.

Grading Policy Your letter grade will be based on your percentage of possible points.

A 90 -- 100%         C 70 -- 79%

B 80 -- 89%            D 60 -- 69%

Quizzes (Online and Flipped): ..........................75 points

Homework (Online):…………………….……. 75 points

Weekly Quizzes (In Class):  .............................150 points

Exam 1: Oct 17  .................................................100 points

Exam II:  Non 7 ................................................100 points

Exam III:  Dec 5 ..............................................100 points

Project 1: Oct 10 ............................................. 100 points

Project 2: Nov 26 ............................................ 100 points

Final Exam:  December 8 (10:00 to 11:50) ....... 200 points

 

Exam Policy Students are to bring calculators, pencils or pens, and paper to each in class exam. A single 3"x5" note card may also be used.  The note card can have writing on both sides.  Grading will based on the progress towards the final answer, and the demonstration of understanding of the concept that is being tested, therefore, work must be shown in detail. There are no makeups for midterms. With a valid proven medical excuse, the missed midterm will not be counted toward the grade.  The final exam cannot be taken late.  

 Homework and Quiz Policy  Homework and Computer Quizzes are delivered and taken online via the Moodle.  It is strongly recommended that you keep a journal of the written responses to the homework and quiz questions.  This will help you prepare for the projects, midterm and final exam.  Homework are Quizzes are due at 11:55 PM on Sundays, but it is required that you work on your homework and quiz before Friday's class so that you can ask your instructor questions during class and succeed on the in class quizzes.  Those who have attempted the homework and quiz for the week and have received at least 50% on each will be allowed to bring in a 3x5 note card to the in class quiz.  During exam week, homework and quizzes will be due on Wednesday.  Time extensions will not be given, but students will be able to work on "late" assignments for no credit but plenty of learning.  Homework and quizzes can be taken repeatedly before the due date and only the highest score will be counted towards your grade.

Flipped Days:  This is a partially flipped classroom meaning that many of the lectures are presented as online YouTube lectures.  You will be responsible for watching the flipped lectures before you arrive in class for the class meeting that has that chapter scheduled.  When you arrive in class you will be given a very short quiz where you will need to answer questions that come directly from the YouTube lecture.  The quizzes are designed to be very easy for those who took copious notes on the lecture and impossible for those who did not view the lecture.  These quizzes replace the corresponding online quizzes for the corresponding chapter.  These quizzes are open notes, but calculators are not allowed.  After the class you will be working in groups on challenging worksheets that you will be completing and then presenting.

Projects Two projects will be created for this class.  For Project 1, students will collect quantitative data and use a computer to display each of the charts discussed in class.  For Project 2, students will conduct a survey and construct a confidence interval and perform a hypothesis test.  Each project will include the results results and a narrative describing data collection, assumptions made, background information, how the data was analyzed, and conclusions.  Unless specifically stated, all results must be computed using a computer and the computer generated results must be included with the project.  The projects should be typed, double spaced, and have 12 point font. Students are to work in pairs or trios.  A 15% penalty will be incurred on any student who cannot work with another student.   Rubric for the Project Grades.  I will be happy to look at a rough draft of your paper if you can bring or email it to me at least 24 hours before it is due.  After receiving feedback, you can ask more questions, but only one rough draft of the paper will be reviewed by me. 

OFFICE HOURS:

Monday  ............................  2:40 to 3:40        MSC

Tuesday..........................      3:00 to 4:00        A210

Wednesday ....................      2:40 to 3:40          A210

Thursday  ...........................  12:00 to 1:00          A210

Friday........................            10:00 to 11:00        A210

CALCULATORS: The TI 83, TI 84+ is required for this course. There are a limited number of TI 84+ calculators available for rent for $5 at the Library.  A TI 89 will also work for this course, but you will need to download the TI 84+ App to make it workable.

LEARNING DISABILITIES: If you have a learning disability, be sure to discuss your special needs with me.  Learning disabilities will be accommodated and you may contact our disability resource center by email or by phone at (530) 541-4660 x 384.

TUTORING:  Tutors are available at no cost in A 201 (The Math Success Center). 

CELL PHONES:  Cell phones must be turned off while class is in session.  A 5% penalty will be given to any student whose cell phone goes off during a quiz or exam.

A WORD ON HONESTY:  Cheating or copying will not be tolerated. People who cheat dilute the honest effort of the rest of us.  If you cheat on a quiz, exam, or project you will receive an F  for the course, not merely for the test.  Other college disciplinary action including expulsion might occur. Please don’t cheat in this class.  If you are having difficulty with the course, please contact me.

LECTURE AND EXAM SCHEDULE  (tentative and subject to change)       

Week 1         Chapter 1:  Sampling Data ,  Chapter 2:  Descriptive Statistics       

9-22:        Introductions, Chapter 1                 

9-24:        Chapter 2

9-26:      Quiz, Q&A and Discussion            

Week 2           Chapter 3:  Probability,  Chapter 4: Discrete Random Variables

9-29:          Start Chapter 3  (Flipped Quiz)

10-1:          Finish Chapter 3, Start Chapter 4

10-3:         Quiz, Q&A and Discussion of Project 1

Week 3           Chapter 4: Discrete Random Variables, Chapter 5:Continuous Random Variables,  Project 1

10-6:          Finish Chapter 4, Start Chapter 5

10-8:          Finish Chapter 5

10-10:            Quiz, Q&A,     Project 1 Due 

Week 4       Chapter 6:  The Normal Distribution, Exam 1

10-13:      Start Chapter 6         (Flipped Quiz)

10-15:      Finish Chapter 6    Review for Exam 1

10-17:      Exam 1 (Chapters 1-5)   Quiz, Discussion,              

Week 5    Chapter 7: The Central Limit Theorem

10-20:           Begin Chapter 7

10-22:           Finish Chapter 7         

10-24:          Quiz, Q&A and Discussion

Week 6          Chapter 8:  Confidence Intervals

10-27:          Begin Chapter 8  (Flipped Quiz)

10-29:         Finish Chapter 8

10-31:        Quiz, Q&A and Discussion

Week 7         Chapter 9:  Hypothesis Testing:  1 Sample, Exam II

11-3:         Begin Chapter 9 

11-5:         Finish Chapter 9 and Review for Exam  II (Chapter 9 Homework and Quiz Due on Nov 5)

11-7         Exam II:  (Chapters 6-9)         

Week 8        Chapter 10:  Hypothesis Testing:  2 Samples

11-10:         Veterans Day Holiday

11-12:         Chapter 10  (Flipped Quiz)

11-14:         Quiz, Q&A and Discussion

Week 9           Chapter 11:  Chi-Square Tests, Project 2 

11-17:            Begin Chapter 11  (Flipped Quiz)

11-19:            Finish Chapter 11
                       Link to Test for Homogeneity

11-21:             Quiz, Q&A and Project 2 Discussion

Week 10         Chapter 12:  Linear Regression and Correlation, Project 2

11-24             Begin Chapter 12  (Flipped Quiz)

11-26:            Finish Chapter 12        Project 2 Due

11-28            Happy Thanksgiving!

Week 11         Chapter 13:  F Distribution and ANOVA, Exam 3

12-1:         Chapter 13

12-3:         Review (Chapter 13 Homework Due Dec 3)

12-5:         Exam 3 (Chapters 10-13)

Week 12

12-8:          ( 10:00 -12:00):  Final Exam  (Comprehensive) Review for the Final Exam      

HOW TO SUCCEED IN A MATH CLASS

  •  Get to class early, get yourself settled, spend a few minutes looking at your notes from the previous class meeting, and have your materials ready when class starts.
  •  Read each section before it is discussed in class.
  •  Do some math every day.
  •  Spend about half of your study time working with your classmates.
  •  Start preparing for the exams at least a week in advance.
  • Submit your homework and quizzes at least 24 hours before it is due.  Computer problems always seem to occur at the worst times.
  • Come to the Math Success Center.
  • Get help from a tutor or from your instructor whenever you are confused.  Your instructor is there to help you pass.  With hard work, many hours on task, and persistence, you can achieve your goals.